Hospitality News & Insights

• AM Rally Completely Erased By The Close September 11, 2026
  AM Rally Completely Erased By The Close This morning's paradoxical rally lasted 30 whole minutes. Bonds turned around at exactly 9am and proceeded to completely erase the AM gains. There were no compelling macro motivations for the reversal apart from a modest rise in oil prices. While oil price lows and highs perfectly matched bond […]
• Mortgage Rates Held Fairly Steady Until Late in The Day September 11, 2026
  Looked at in a vacuum, and up until the last few hours of the day, Friday was no better or worse than the average day over the past several months. Compared to yesterday morning's levels, the average lender was 0.01% higher--a small enough move to be effectively considered "unchanged."  This expanded to 0.05% in the […]
• Existing Home Sales Dip Below 4 Million as Inventory Builds September 11, 2026
  Existing-home sales slipped in August, falling below the 4 million annualized pace for the first time since June 2025, while a sharp increase in inventory gave buyers more options and pushed the supply of homes to its highest level in more than a decade. The National Association of REALTORS® reported a 2.0% decline in sales […]
• Refi Demand Declining Even Before Most Recent Rate Spike September 11, 2026
  Mortgage application activity pulled back last week, with a sharp decline in refinancing more than offsetting relatively stable purchase demand as mortgage rates moved higher. The Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) reported a 2.7% decrease in total application volume on a seasonally adjusted basis for the week ending September 4. Purchase applications were little changed, slipping […]
• AI Warehouse, Compliance Education Tools; Rocket's Limits; Who is Prepaying; Inflation = Higher Rates September 11, 2026
  Most of us 30 years old and older have tales about where they were and what they did 25 years ago. Being in capital markets, and selling MBS, for over 40 years, I knew people who died in New York that day. That said, as an industry, we’re very good at looking forward to, and […]
• Paradoxical Rally in Bonds Thanks to Higher Fed Hike Odds September 11, 2026
  We've been saying for a while that the longer end of the bond market really wants to see the Fed get serious about fighting inflation. This is why yields spiked on July 29th when the Fed held rates steady and Warsh said he'd let the bond market do the heavy lifting. Now today, we have […]
• Ugly Snowball Selling Thanks to Oil and Inflation Data September 10, 2026
  Ugly Snowball Selling Thanks to Oil and Inflation Data MBS lost nearly a full point by 4pm ET and 10yr yields were up 11.4bps at 4.95%. This is the highest since October 2023 when 10s briefly hit 5.006%.  At one point in the overnight session, yields were slightly LOWER on the day. Things changed in […]